Research

The U.S. Asylum System Amid Heavy Border Workloads, FY2021–FY2024

An interagency analysis of backlogs, processing times and administrative capacity. The study relates border workloads to the ability of USCIS and immigration courts to process cases.

AuthorsSergei Otnelchenko, Igor Leonov
Manuscript / version date2026-09-29
AvailabilityИсследование · SSRN

Research question & overview

The border is treated as the beginning of a distributed decision process. An encounter, an individual, an application and a court proceeding are different units of observation. Combining them obscures where workloads accumulate.

The study uses public data from CBP, USCIS, EOIR, GAO and DHS oversight bodies. Its comparisons are descriptive: the available records do not allow the same cohort to be followed from the border to a final decision.

Its proposed approach emphasizes joint resource planning, the age and readiness of cases, and cohort reporting. Changes in workload are not attributed to a single policy or administration.

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DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.7541521

Bibliographic reference

Sergei Otnelchenko, Igor Leonov. (2026). The U.S. Asylum System Amid Heavy Border Workloads, FY2021–FY2024. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.7541521

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Citation

Sergei Otnelchenko, Igor Leonov. (2026). The U.S. Asylum System Amid Heavy Border Workloads, FY2021–FY2024.